Robustness of future atmospheric circulation changes over the EURO-CORDEX domain

Abstract European climate is associated with variability and changes in the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation. In this study, we aim to investigate potential future change circulation over Europe by using EURO-CORDEX regional projections at 0.11° grid mesh. particular, analyze 500-hPa geopotential height (Gph), wind speed mean sea level pressure (MSLP) addressing different warming levels of 1 °C, 2 °C 3 respectively. Simple scaling global temperature applied for monthly Gph speed. Results from ensemble individual models show a robust increase MSLP winter Mediterranean Central Europe, indicating an intensification anticyclonic This emerges robustly most simulations within coming decade. There are also enhanced westerlies which transport warm moist air spring. It clear that, showing responses depend very much on model member they nested. For all seasons, particularly autumn, more correlated end century than models. general, emergence scaled pattern appears rather quickly.